F. Große et al.: Looking beyond stratification
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Biogeosciences, 13, 2511-2535, 2016
is provided by Chen et al. (2013). The HAMSOM simulation
was carried out with a 10 min time step.
ECOHAM was run off-line with a time step of 30 min
using the 24 h averages of the hydrographic and hydrody
namic fields generated by HAMSOM. In the model setup
used, short wave radiation is attributed to the first layer (sur
face) only and the specific effect of light attenuation due to
SPM and planktonic self-shading on the thermal structure
is not taken into account. A sensitivity study allowing for
deeper light penetration and feedback on the thermal struc
ture confirmed this effect to be only of minor importance (not
shown).
For the biogeochemical state variables a climatology of
depth-dependent monthly averages was prescribed at the
boundaries and solely for DIC yearly changing data were
provided (Lorkowski et ah, 2012). To include the effect of
SPM on the light climate, a daily climatology from Heath
et al. (2002) was used. Data for atmospheric N deposition
were compiled using a hybrid approach. This was required
since the overall simulation period (1977-2012) exceeds the
period of data available from the EMEP (Cooperative pro
gram for monitoring and evaluation of the long-range trans
missions of air pollutants in Europe) model (1995-2012).
First, the EMEP results for total deposition of oxidised
(NO*) and reduced nitrogen (NH3) were interpolated to the
model grid. Second, we calculated the average annual depo
sition rates for the NO, and NH3 for each grid cell, based
on the 1995-2012 EMEP data. The resulting spatially re
solved arrays of average deposition rates were subsequently
normalised by the spatial average of the entire domain to
yield the spatially resolved anomaly fields. Finally, gridded
deposition rates for individual years were obtained using
(1) the gridded anomaly fields, (2) EMEP’s spatially aver
aged (over our model domain) deposition rates for year 2005,
and (3) long-term trends (normalised towards year 2005) for
the temporal evolution of European emissions of NO, and
NH3 (Fig. 2 in Schôpp et ah, 2003). The output of the bio
geochemical simulation was stored as daily values (cumu
lative fluxes, state variable snapshots) for the entire domain
and simulation period.
2.2 Extracting stratification parameters from model
results
Stratification constitutes the prerequisite for the potential
evolution of low O2 conditions in the North Sea. In this study
(1) its duration and (2) the mixed layer depth (MLD) are used
to describe stratification. Seasonal stratification in the North
Sea is mainly T-driven (Burt et ah, 2014), except for the re
gions of haline stratification along the Norwegian coast. As
observations do not cover the entire model domain and simu
lation period we determined the duration of stratification and
the MLD from the simulation results. For this purpose we
developed a simple 2-step algorithm based on T. First, the
stratified period is determined using a temperature difference
criterion:
5’sii.h (x,y,f)
1 AT\°_ H (x, y, t) > 0.05K
0 otherwise
(1)
S'strat is a switch defining if a water column at location (x, y)
and time t is stratified (/»strat = 1) or not (S^trat = 0) de
pending on the temperature difference A T between the sur
face and bottom depth H. The critical temperature differ
ence A7( M | = 0.05 K was determined by evaluating different
Aigrit against the temporal evolution of simulated bottom O2
at different locations within the model domain. In addition,
periods of stratified conditions are only considered as such,
if they last for at least 5 days without any interruption. Oth
erwise bottom waters are considered to be ventilated again.
In the second step, in the case of stratification the MLD
of a model water column is determined using the vertical T
gradient AT/Az:
MLD(x, y, t)
D(max(AT/Az))
0
5’slral (x. V. t ) — 1
otherwise
(2)
AT /Az is calculated for each grid cell interface within the
considered water column. A T represents the T difference be
tween two vertically adjacent model layers and Az represents
the distance between the centre points of these two grid cells.
D is then defined as the depth level of the interface where
AT/Az has its maximum. As the described stratification and
MLD criterion differ significantly from common MLD crite
ria (e.g., Table 1 in Kara et al., 2000), an evaluation is pro
vided in Appendix A.
2.3 Validation data
For the validation of the model results we used observation
data from different sources. The data sets can be subdivided
into two types: (1) temporally resolved, localised data and
(2) spatially resolved “snapshots”. The first type was used
for the validation of the seasonal evolution of O2, whereas
the second type was used to validate the general spatial pat
terns and year-to-year variability of bottom O2 during late
summer.
2.3.1 Localised, temporally resolved data -
Cefas-SmartBuoy and MARNET
Cefas operates a network of SmartBuoys to provide au
tonomous in situ measurements of physical, chemical and
biological parameters (Mills et al., 2005). A SmartBuoy was
located directly north of the Dogger Bank (“North Dogger”)
at 55°41 / N, 2° 16.80'E (see Fig. 2, region 2) between 24
February 2007 to 15 September 2008 in 85 m water depth
(Greenwood et al., 2010). O2 concentrations were contin
uously recorded with a frequency of 5 Hz at 31 and 85 m.
These autonomous O2 measurements were corrected for