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Full text: Looking beyond stratification: a model-based analysis of the biological drivers of oxygen deficiency in the North Sea

F. Große et al.: Looking beyond stratification 
2513 
www.biogeosciences.net/13/2511/2016/ 
Biogeosciences, 13, 2511-2535, 2016 
Figure 1. Extent of observed Ot concentrations < 6mg02L _1 in 
the German Bight area from 1980 to 2010. Dotted lines indicate 
geographical limits of the individual surveys. Light grey line marks 
German Maritime Area (from Topcu and Brockmann, 2015). 
tion of stratification and CD concentrations at the location of 
observation. 
Greenwood et al. (2010) published the first data from con 
tinuous measurements of bottom CD concentrations for two 
sites (“North Dogger” and “Oyster Grounds”) in a European 
shelf sea. Using these measurements, the dynamic interac 
tion between stratification and the evolution towards low bot 
tom Ot concentrations can be observed, as well as the rapid 
recovery to saturated Ot conditions after the breakdown of 
stratification due to mixing in autumn. However, even these 
continuous measurements did not provide sufficient infor 
mation to fully understand the processes which caused the 
observed O2 evolution. Greenwood et al. (2010) and Queste 
et al. (2013), who extended the locally confined findings by 
Greenwood et al. (2010) to the spatial scale using survey data 
from August 2010 and ICES historical data, refer to “plau 
sible mechanisms” like vertical mixing or advection when 
the measurements could not be explained in detail. In con 
sequence, Greenwood et al. (2010) stated that the data pro 
vided insight into the processes affecting the O2 dynamics 
but models are required to further elucidate the significance 
of the seasonal drivers. 
Ecosystem models produce a temporally and spatially con 
sistent picture on O2 and can therefore provide insight into 
the balance between the physical and biological factors and 
processes governing the evolution of the bottom O2 concen 
trations. Thus, they can help understand and interpret mea 
surements of O2 and related parameters and can further de 
scribe the history of events of low O2 conditions. 
In this study we use the three-dimensional physical- 
biogeochemical model system HAMSOM-ECOHAM to pro 
vide a detailed description of the current state of the North 
Sea in terms of its O2 conditions, and the processes leading 
to low bottom O2 concentrations. The interpretation of the 
model results will enable the following questions to be an 
swered: what are the main drivers for the O2 dynamics in the 
various subregions of the North Sea? Why are certain North 
Sea regions more susceptible to low O2 conditions than oth 
ers despite similar stratification patterns? 
For this purpose, we first validate the simulated bottom O2 
concentrations with respect to their temporal evolution and 
spatial distribution in order to show that the model captures 
the main features. Subsequently, we present a regional char 
acterisation of the parameters controlling the bottom O2 dy 
namics and propose a simple O2 deficiency index which ex 
tends this characterisation to the entire North Sea. Finally, we 
attribute the individual contributions of the governing pro 
cesses to the temporal and spatial variability of the overall 
O2 evolution, under particular consideration of the continu 
ous O2 measurements at North Dogger (Greenwood et ah, 
2010). 
2 Material and methods 
2.1 The ECOHAM model 
Our study is based on the coupled physical-biogeochemical 
model system HAMSOM-ECOHAM. The physical model 
HAMSOM (HAMburg Shelf Ocean Model; Backhaus, 1985) 
is a baroclinie primitive equation model using the hydrostatic 
and Boussinesq approximation (Pohlmann, 1991). HAM 
SOM provides the temperature (T) and salinity (S) distri 
bution, in addition to the advective flow fields and the ver 
tical turbulent mixing coefficient, which are used as forc 
ing for the biogeochemical model ECOHAM (ECOsystem 
model HAMburg). For a detailed description of HAMSOM 
the reader is referred to Pohlmann (1991). Further informa 
tion on the application of HAMSOM can be found in Back 
haus and Hainbucher (1987) and Pohlmann (1996). 
The biogeochemical model ECOHAM (Lorkowski et ah, 
2012; Patsch and Klihn, 2008) represents the pelagic and 
benthic cycles of carbon (C), nitrogen (N), phosphorus (P), 
silicon (Si) and O2. The O2 module within the ECOHAM 
model incorporates physical and biogeochemical processes 
determining the pelagic O2 concentrations (Patsch and Ktihn, 
2008). 
The air-sea exchange of O2 at the sea surface constitutes 
an important physical process besides the effects of advec 
tive transport and vertical diffusion in the interior water col 
umn. The air-sea flux of O2 in the present application is pa- 
rameterised according to Wanninkhof (1992). In relation to 
the biology, the O2 cycle is linked to the C cycle by pho 
tosynthesis, zooplankton respiration and bacterial remineral 
isation. While photosynthesis is a source of O2, zooplank 
ton respiration and bacterial remineralisation act as O2 sinks.
	        
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