A. Boesch and S. Müller-Navarra: Reassessment of long-period constituents for tidal predictions
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www.ocean-sci.net/15/1363/2019/
Ocean Sei., 15,1363-1379, 2019
Table 4. The modified and adopted new list of long-period partial
tides. The rank R indicates the importance of a partial tide for tidal
analysis, based on the combined evaluation of data from all tide
gauges.
Doodson
£U (° tn 1 )
Description, name
R
ZZZZAZ
0.0548098
lunar nodal precession
6
ZZZBZZ
0.2306165
half lunar apsidal precession
13
ZZAZZZ
1.0201944
tropical year, Sa
7
ZZBXZZ
1.8097724
31
ZZBZZZ
2.0403886
half tropical year, Ssa
17
ZAXZZZ
11.5978420
14
ZAXAZZ
11.7131503
MSm
8
ZAYXZZ
12.3874200
34
ZAYZZZ
12.6180365
19
ZAYAAZ
12.7881545
39
ZAZYZZ
13.5229227
anomalistic month, Mm
3
ZAZZZZ
13.6382309
tropical month
4
ZAZZAZ
13.6930407
38
ZAZAZZ
13.7535391
21
ZABBAZ
15.9640460
36
ZBWZZZ
24.2158785
11
ZBXZYZ
25.1812631
35
ZBXZZZ
25.2360729
half synodic month, MSf
1
ZBYZZZ
26.2562673
12
ZBZXZZ
27.0458453
33
ZBZYZZ
27.1611535
15
ZBZZZZ
27.2764618
half tropical month, Mf
2
ZBZZAZ
27.3312716
27
ZCVAZZ
36.9492232
Sv2
10
ZCXYZZ
38.7589956
SN
16
ZCXZZZ
38.8743038
24
ZCXAZZ
38.9896120
MStm
22
ZCZYZZ
40.7993844
Mfm
23
ZDUZZZ
49.4519514
29
ZDVZZZ
50.4721458
fourth synodic month, 2SM
5
ZDXZZZ
52.5125347
MSqm
9
ZDXZAZ
52.5673444
37
71)7777.
54.5529235
30
ZF.TAZZ
62.1852961
25
ZEVYZZ
63.9950685
2SMN
28
ZEVAZZ
64.2256849
26
ZFTZZZ
75.7082187
sixth synodic month
20
ZFVZZZ
77.7486076
18
ZHRZZZ
100.9442917
eighth synodic month
32
7 9 11 16 21 29 34
Figure 6. The partial tides (identified by their rank R from Ta
ble 4) that can be resolved as a function of the (minimum) length of
the time series. If two partial tides cannot be resolved against each
other, the one with the lower rank is dropped. Note the logarithmic
time axis from 0.2 to 20 years. The numbers at the top are the counts
of partial tides.
new set are compared with observations. The predictions are
made for the year 2016 and are compared with tide gauge
observations from the same year.
5.1 Tidal analysis and prediction
We calculate tidal predictions (times and heights of high and
low waters) with the HRoI using (i) the 43 partial tides from
Set 2 in Table 2 and (ii) the 39 partial tides derived from our
analysis. The data and software are otherwise identical. The
predictions are based on amplitudes a„, (see Eq. 1) that are
determined from a tidal analysis of water level records from
1995 to 2013 (19 years). Data are only used from tide gauges
that have delivered enough observations in this time period to
include all partial tides in the analysis. Additionally, the tide
gauges must have delivered observations for the year 2016.
The 98 tide gauges that fulfil these criteria are marked in the
column “Used for verif.” in Table Al. All tide gauge data are
prepared as described in Sect. 4.1, including the removal of
extreme events from the observations that are used for com
parison. The analysis is applied in two iterations with a 3er
clipping in-between.
5.2 Evaluation of residuals
In this section, we present results from the analysis of the
residuals in the following order: the distributions of resid
uals for the tide gauge Cuxhaven, the means and standard
deviations for some major ports, the changes in the standard
deviations for all tide gauges, and the changes in the remain-