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2.3.2. Model descriptions
Four models were configured and run for the Baltic Sea intercomparison exercise. The models
used include two box models (POSEIDON and NRPA model) and a three dimensional (3-D)
model accounting for density gradients and incorporating ice thermodynamics (THREETOX).
Lastly, an intermediate approach, consisting of a two dimensional (2-D) depth averaged model
forced with annual mean winds (USEV model), has also been used. These are described in
Annex I (NRPA model), II (POSEIDON), III (THREETOX) and V (USEV model). It is clear
therefore that the intercomparison included a wide range of modelling approaches.
For THREETOX and the USEV model, hydrodynamic models were used to calculate the
current fields and used as inputs in the simulation of the transport of radionuclides. An
advection–di?usion equation is solved for this purpose, which incorporates additional terms
accounting for radionuclide exchanges between water, suspended matter and bed sediments. In
the case of box models, water ?uxes between boxes are used in the conventional way. The main
characteristics of the applied models are summarized in Table 7.
2.3.3. Modelling endpoints
Simulations were started in October 1986 and ran for a duration of five years. This start time is
around 6 months after the Chornobyl accident deposition event took place and when the first
measurements of the fallout distribution in the Baltic Sea were carried out (see Figure 4 above;
which was prepared using various measurements [23–25]). The same endpoints were calculated
with each model in order to facilitate model–model and model–measurement comparisons, the
latter with data from the HELCOM database. Also, estimates of annual inventories in the water
column and bed sediments have been made from various measurements [32].
The modelling endpoints are:
? Time series of total 137Cs inventories in the Baltic water column and in bed sediments (a
single value at the end of each month) (see Figure 5);
? Time series of 137Cs activity concentrations in surface water and bed sediments at
locations indicated in Table 8 (daily values) (see Figures 6 and 7);
? Time series of mean activity concentrations of 137Cs in the water column and bed
sediment in the regions described in Figure 2 above (a single value at the end of each
month) (see Figures 8 and 9);
? Maps of 137Cs activity concentration in surface water (Bq/m3) and bed sediments (Bq/kg)
at the end of the simulation time (31 October 1991) (see Figure 10).
No calibration using the results of measurements was performed for the POSEIDON,
THREETOX and NRPA models. Instead, default parameters were used. In the case of the
USEV model, data on 137Cs inventories in the water column and seabed were used to calibrate
uptake/release processes, as described in Annex V.