2.2. BSH Drift Model
The oil spill drift model was developed and is being
operated by the German Federal Maritime and
Hydrographic Agency (Bundesamt fur Seescliifffahrt
und Hydrograpliie, BSH) [11]. It is based on water level
and current predictions of an operational
hydrodynamical circulation model at BSH and on wind
forecasts of meteorological models of the German
Weather Service (Deutscher Wetterdienst, DWD) [12].
The drift model delivers forecasts of the drift and
spreading of oil spills, which serve as decision support
for contingency planning. Besides, a backtracking mode
allows for tracking possible origins of pollutions.
A possible oil spill is represented by a particle cloud of
1000 particles (Lagrangian model) that is drifting under
the influence of current and wind and spreading as a
function of oil type [13]. Besides, the drift model
considers the most important oil weathering processes
as e.g. dispersion, emulsification, evaporation. In
addition to the spatial distribution of the drifting oil,
stranding and deposition on the sea bottom are modelled
[12]. If the oil type of a pollution is known, the best fit
of physical and chemical properties can be selected out
of eight different oil types.
3. DRIFT MODEL INPUT
For starting the drift model, following data files are
requested (Fig. 4):
The topography file delivers information about
the topography of North Sea and Baltic Sea with
its islands, coastlines and depths.
Current data files are generated by the
circulation models and stored in daily files. A list
of paths to all required files is needed.
The basis data file contains information about
the pollution itself, some model parameters and
additional information.
basis data
topo
graphy
current
data
/ V
particle doud: \
start distribution
r
drift DeMarine:^)
Environment
model
I remote sensing
A particle cloud .
for each
time step
Figure 4. Drift model input files
Through the basis data file, date, time and central
position of an oil spill are determined as essential input
parameters. If other parameters as e.g. oil type and oil
amount are unknown, they have to be assumed based on
expert knowledge of BSH model operators. For model
parameters like calculation mode (forecast or
backtracking) or simulation length, default values are
preset and stored in the basis data file.
3.1. Level-I Processing
Starting the drift model run by specifying only the spill
centre coordinate and no particle distribution is called
Level-1 processing. Before DeMarine, this information
was acquired during an aircraft mission and sent to BSH
via phone or fax.
For Level-1 processing, the drift model itself sets up the
particle cloud (Fig. 5) after the first time step (15
minutes) based on the centre coordinate and considering
the wind field.
Level I
^ center coordinate {EMSA)
. start distribution
, drift path
Figure 5. Example of drift model run: Level-1
processing. Center coordinate, start distribution
generated by dri ft model (zoom) and dri ft path
Each particle is considered independently, i.e. it drifts
with the current and underlies the physical and chemical
processes. Additionally, the centre of mass of the
distribution is calculated for each time step (drift path in
Fig. 5; the time step is 15 minutes). All information is
stored in an output file that is used for visualisation.
3.2. Level-II Processing
By specifying only the centre coordinate, information
about the shape and dimension of an oil spill cannot be
taken into account. It was the main goal of the
subproject to use remote sensing data for setting up the
initial particle cloud (Fig. 4, right) and for starting the
drift model based on the observed distribution. This
kind of model run is called Level-II processing. Oil age
lias to be specified as an additional parameter having a
strong influence on spreading.