KLIWAS
Seite
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3
Comparison of ENSEMBLES Regional dim a te
Mo d e Is re suits to ERA-40 re a na lysis d a ta
Comparing
meteorological
fields of the
Ensembles
regional climate
models with ERA-
40-data over the
North Sea
3.1 Overview
Seven meteorological parameters, such as sea level pressure, wind speed and direc
tion, air temperature, global radiation, cloud cover and precipitation of 12 regional
models are compared to ERA-40 data. We investigate only meteorological elements
with the scheme described in chapter 2.3. All mini pictures show absolute values and
anomalies over the 30 years time period 1971-2000. Starting with the most prominent
parameter “sea level pressure”, we point out the similarities and differences between
each of the different RCMs and between the RCMs and ERA-40.
3.2 Sea Leve 1 Pressure
Air pressure is a basic atmospheric parameter. As the air pressure decreases with in
creasing altitude, reduced data to sea level height - the sea level pressure (SLP) - is
commonly used in meteorology. Sea level pressure varies widely on Earth, and these
changes are of utmost importance in studying weather and climate. Changes in sea
level pressure can cause subsequent changes in other parameters, e.g. atmospheric
circulation and sea level. Thus, influences on the pressure fields by the regionaliza
tion models compared to ERA-40 values are of utmost interest.
Fig. 3.2.1 shows the annual mean values of sea level pressure of the ERA-40 reanaly
sis and the ENSEMBLES RCMs for the period 1971-2000. A clear zonal structure
can be seen in all model results with higher values in the SSE and lower values in the
NNW. The deviations between the pressure fields of the regional climate models and
the mother model (ERA-40) show a variety of different patterns. They can be classi
fied into two characteristic types (see Fig. 3.2.2): Those with a nearly constant offset
(positive and negative) and others with dominating differences in the pressure gradi
ent field.
In winter (see Fig. 3.2.3, January), the zonal gradient is most pronounced and the cur
vature of the isobars prevailingly cyclonic. In summer (see Figs. 3.2.5 and 3.2.6, July)
the pressure is higher than in winter and more evenly distributed. The isobars show
anticyclonic curvatures. As in winter there are still considerable differences between
the model fields.
Fig.s 3.2.7, 3.2.9 and 3.2.11 display the fields of the standard deviations of the sea
level pressure: An increased variability over the northern parts of the North Sea is