F. Große et al.: Looking beyond stratification
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www.biogeosciences.net/13/2511/2016/
Biogeosciences, 13, 2511-2535, 2016
Figure 10. Mass balances for simulated bottom CD at Cefas North Dogger (see Fig. 2, region 2) during stratification (grey shaded) in (a) 2007
and (b) 2010. Same legend for (a) and (b). Black y axes apply to processes, magenta y axes apply to CD (saturation) concentrations. Changes
in concentrations due to different processes are cumulative.
The model-based analysis of different factors affect
ing CD showed that besides sufficiently long stratification
(>60 days), surface layer primary production (driving or
ganic matter export) and sub-thermocline volume are the key
parameters influencing the bottom CD evolution. Based on
this, the North Sea can be subdivided into three different
zones in terms of CD dynamics: (1) a highly productive, non-
stratified coastal zone (region A), (2) a productive, season
ally stratified zone with a small sub-thermocline volume (re
gion B), and (3) a productive, seasonally stratified zone with
a large sub-thermocline volume (regions C and D). While
the zones of types 1 and 3 are unlikely to be affected by
low CD conditions due to either continuously ongoing ven
tilation (type 1) or the large sub-thermocline volume dilut
ing the effect of CD consumption (type 3), type 2 is highly
susceptible to low CD conditions. This results from the spe
cific combination of high upper layer productivity and small
sub-thermocline volume, which causes a strong impact of the
consumption processes on the decrease in the bottom CD con
centrations.
The ODI demonstrates that this regional characterisation,
based on only three controlling parameters, can be applied
to most parts of the North Sea. The ODI is rather simple
compared to the eutrophication risk index (EUTRISK; Druon
et al., 2004) as it is designed to indicate regions with higher
risk for 0 2 deficiency. Therefore, it may also allow for an
operational use as the information on stratification can be de
rived from operational hydrodynamic al models and informa
tion on net primary production from satellite data.
The model-based mass balances showed that pelagic bac
terial remineralisation constitutes the largest CD consuming
process within the sub-thermocline volume. In the bottom
layer, benthic remineralisation constitutes the major CD sink.
which consistently contributes more than 50 % to the over
all bottom CD consumption. Pelagic remineralisation consis
tently contributes to more than 20 % of the overall bottom
CD consumption. Zooplankton respiration and nitrification
are less important, however, can contribute to up to 14 and
8 %, respectively. In addition, the results suggest that the rel
ative contribution of the different CD consuming processes
in the bottom layer at a certain location depends on the water
column depth and is independent of the overall consumption.
The mass balances also showed that differences in the
surface layer primary production drive variations in the
sub-thermocline and bottom CD evolution between different
years. Increased primary production directly enhances the
export of dead phytoplankton into the deeper layers. Further
more, it enhances zooplankton growth which causes an addi
tional increase in organic matter production and export. This
enhanced zooplankton growth further increases CD consump
tion due to respiration. The overall increase in organic matter
export results in stronger bacterial remineralisation which in
turn triggers nitrification due to the stronger release of am
monium.
Our analysis suggests that advection usually only has a mi
nor effect on the bottom CD dynamics in most North Sea re
gions which contradicts the interpretation by Queste et al.
(2013). However, during years of especially low bottom 0 2
concentrations it may play an important role for the recov
ery of the 0 2 levels before the breakdown of stratification in
autumn. In addition, we showed that during the summer pe
riod only very strong mixing results in a net increase in CD
as the enhanced nutrient supply triggers primary production,
eventually increasing the biological CD consumption, which
balances or even exceeds the enhanced CD supply.