Most severe negative surges on the southern Baltic Sea coast
53
5.16. December 1999
Meteorological situation
At the end of November, as a stationary anticy
clone was centred over southern Europe, a suc
cession of low pressure centres travelled across
northern Europe. This provoked very strong
winds in the northern Baltic Sea region which
calmed only temporarily.
On 1 December, one of the depressions moved
eastward across central Scandinavia and the
Gulf of Bothnia, deepening rapidly, with 953 hPa
measured in its centre when it reached Finland at
09 UTC. The depression continued tracking
toward the White Sea, filling. The low pressure
trough with its associated fronts provoked a
southerly to southwesterly storm as early as the
night of 30 November. Wind force reached more
than 8 Bft. In the afternoon of 1 December, winds
behind the cold front veered west to northwest
and became increasingly gusty (Fig. 5.16. a). On
2 December and in the morning of 3 December,
winds backed and calmed to 7-5 Bft. In the
meantime, however, another active depression,
with 995 hPa in its centre, appeared northwest of
Ireland after midnight on 3 December. Moving
quickly east across Scotland and the North Sea,
the depression, now with an atmospheric pres
sure of 953 hPa, entered the Skagerrak at
21 UTC on 3 December. The centre slowed over
Denmark and stopped, deepening, then contin
ued across southern Sweden and the Baltic Sea.
It did not begin to fill until it reached the Latvian
coast on 4 December, at 06 UTC, continuing on
its eastward track (Fig. 5.16. b).
Along its whole track across the North Sea,
Scandinavia and the Baltic Sea, the depression
was accompanied by hurricane-like winds. The
passage of the frontal system resulted in a S-SW
storm. After the cold front had passed toward
noon on 4 December, the storm veered west,
then northwest, increasing considerably in gusti
ness. The intensity of the storm in the whole
southwestern area of the Baltic Sea, from the
Sounds to the coasts of Kotobrzeg, reached and
at times exceeded 9 to 10 Bft. In the eastern part
of the coast the storm was less violent. It was not
until the late hours of 4 December that the storm
calmed down slowly.
On 5 December, moderate westerly winds be
coming later variable prevailed over the Baltic
Sea. On 6 December, another large low pressure
trough approached from the British Isles. Early
on 6 December, the winds backed southwest
and increased to 8-9 Bft, reaching 10 Bft in gusts
and dominating the entire Baltic Sea region.
Around midnight on 7 December, the winds
calmed down, veering slowly (Fig. 5.16. c).
Hydrological response of sea level
Towards the end of November, water levels oscil
lated around the mean values in the western part
of the Baltic Sea coast. Levels began to de
crease in the afternoon of 30 November due to
strong offshore winds. Water levels remained at
their minimum until the morning hours of
1 December, when the wind veered onshore and
decreased. The minimum water levels were first
reached in the eastern sections of the coast:
416 cm in Kotobrzeg between 02 and 06 UTC,
385 cm in Swinoujscie around 08 UTC, 377 cm
at Sassnitz around 03 UTC, 359 cm at
Warnemünde between 9 and 10 UTC, and 332 cm
at Wismar around 09 UTC.
Even deeper minima were forced by the storm of
3 and 4 December. In the western part of the
coast, water levels began to fall earlier than in the
east because the hurricane-like offshore winds
continued for a longer time over the western Bal
tic Sea. As usual, deeper minima were recorded
by the westernmost gauges: 309 cm and 333 cm
in Wismar and Warnemünde, respectively, bet
ween 9 and 10 UTC, 364 cm at Sassnitz, and
379 cm at Swinoujscie between 7 and 8 UTC. In
Kotobrzeg, where the wind was less severe and
veered first, the minimum of 456 cm was reached
between 5 and 6 UTC.
Those two very deep drops of sea levels were
followed by a third one hardly two days later.
When the moderate westerly winds, which
calmed down and became variable later on 5 De
cember, backed again southwest in the morning
of 6 December and increased to 8-9 Bft, sea lev
els responded immediately and began to fall to
ward noon on 6 December. Minima were reached
between 18 UTC on 6 and 02 UTC on 7 Decem
ber. The lowest value in Wismar was close to
380 cm, and the level in Warnemünde was just
below 400 cm. The other gauges recorded water
levels between 415 cm and 450 cm. The com
pensating increase which followed was assisted
by a slight veering of the wind.