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contributions of DWD to a wide range of users.
German GOOS Secretariat
The German GOOS Secretariat hosted by the DWD since October 1992 supports the German
representatives in the GCOS bodies, helps to co-ordinate the German contribution to the
climate module of GOOS and provides information. The focus of its work is on the Joint Data
and Information Management Panel (J-DIMP).
DWD-P3 Operational marine meteorological applications and services
Objectives
to supply customers with marine meteorological forecasts, warnings, advice, expert
opinions, and real-time observation data
to compile marine climatological basic data, partly on behalf of WMO, for use by marine
meteorological and oceanographic services, scientific and nautical institutions and the
public.
Present scientific knowledge and methods used
The operational marine meteorological services make forecasts and issue warnings which are
mainly based on the results of model computations. Empirical methods prevail only in
nowcasting (0-2 hours) and short-term forecasts (up to about 12 hours). Owing to the
availability of latest state-of-the-art mainframe computers, the capabilities of numerical
weather predictions are continually improved.
For example, the Global Model of the German Weather Service computes forecasts with a
horizontal resolution of 1.1° and 19 vertical layers. The prediction period covers 7 days. The
model performance will be further improved shortly by refining the gridsize to 50 km. Periods
up to about 10 days can be covered by deterministic predictions. This period can be extended
even further by using the ensemble technique.
Nested models provide much higher resolutions for shorter prediction periods. The Germany
model of DWD uses resolutions of 14 km and 30 layers, with a prediction period of 48 hours.
A reduction of the grid resolution to 8 km will be carried out shortly, and a further reduction
is being planned. In the new model, within the framework of non-hydrostatic equations,
vertical motions will be ascertained directly. The deterministic output is improved by filtering
techniques such as Kalman filtering and statistical methods like the perfect-prog method or
model output statistics (MOS).
A crucial requirement in numerical weather forecasting is the consideration of ocean-
atmosphere coupling. The manifold momentum, energy, and mass transfer processes at the sea
surface play an important role, especially in medium- and long-term predictions. Recently
models have been introduced taking into account these processes.
For wave predictions, models are used which are forced by the predicted windfields from
numerical weather prediction models. The DWD, e.g., uses a hybrid 2 nd generation wave
model. Computations are made for the North Atlantic (130 km / 7 days), the European Shelf
(30 km / 78 hours), and the Baltic Sea (15 km / 78 hours). The follow-up model, the 3 rd
generation wave model, will be applied on a global scale and will also cover the Mediterranean
and North and Baltic Seas, and it will be coupled to atmospheric models and additionally, in