Baltic Sea Ice Climate Workshop 2005
60
Denmark - Gulf of Gdansk
1920 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000
years
♦ Dannish Waters ■ Gulf of Gdansk
Fig. 1. Comparison of days with sea-ice on the Gulf of Gdansk and on the open waters of
Danish Straits in 20 century.
The high correlation coefficient (0.87-0.88) was calculated for the days with sea ice on fairways
on Gulf of Gdansk and open waters in Danish Straits. It shows that in the majority of winters a
method of correlation could be applied for reconstruction of sea ice conditions in Gulf of
Gdansk.
Sea ice conditions in Gulf of Gdansk in 15 century
In 15 century the Baltic Sea was a very important trade route, dominated mainly by Hanza
owing to assuring itself and the Union towns a favourable position. In Fig. 2 there are presented
the main trade routes on the Baltic on the end of 15 and in 16 century. One of the longest one
is Lübeck - Novgorod (till it was conquered by Russia), moreover the routes: southern - leading
to The Polish - Lithuanian Federation (so-called Republic of the Both Nations) and the
northern, leading to Sweden and Finnish towns. One may expect that a majority of accessible
information concerning obstructions to navigation shall be referred to the above mentioned
navigation routes.