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Author Contributions: Conceptualization, C.J., T.M. and T.K.; methodology, C.J. and T.M.; vali-
dation, T.M.; investigation, C.J., T.M. and N.H.5.; writing—original draft preparation, C.J., T.M.,
N.H.S. and T.K.; writing—review and editing, C.J., T.M., N.H.S., I.H. and T.K; visualization, C.J.,
1.M. and N.H.5S.; supervision, T.K. All authors have read and agreed to the published version of
the manuscript.
Funding: This study was funded by the German Federal Ministry of Digital and Transport (BMDV)
in the context of the BMDV Network of Experts.
Data Availability Statement: Tidal low water observations at Cuxhaven:Measured by WSA (Wa-
terways and Shipping Agency) Elbe-North sea. Available at [29]. Tidal low water observa-
tions at St. Pauli: Measured by Hamburg Port Authority (HPA) Available at [29]. ERA5
SLP data: The ERA5-SLP data is publically available from the Copernicus Climate Change
Service (C35) Climate Data Store (CDS). Hersbach, H., Bell, B., Berrisford, P., Biavati, G.,
Horänyi, A., Munoz Sabater, J., Nicolas, J., Peubey, C., Radu, R., Rozum, [I., Schepers, D.,
Simmons, A., Soci, C., Dee, D., Thepaut, J-N. (2018): ERA5 hourly data on single levels from
1979 to present. Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) Climate Data Store (CDS). (ac-
cessed on 13 June 2022), DOT: 10.24381/cds.adbb2d47; SMHI-LENS SLP data: The daily mean
SLP-fields of SMHI-LENS are publically available from the Earth System Grid Federations
(ESGF) as ensemble members r101-r150 for the respective experiments. EC-Earth Consortium
(2019): EC-Earth-Consortium EC-Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP historical,
Version 20200412.Earth System Grid Federation. https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4700;
EC-Earth Consortium (2019): EC-Earth-Consortium EC-Earth3 model output prepared for
CMIP6 CMIP ssp126. Version 20210615.Earth System Grid Federation. https://doi.org/10
22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4874; EC-Earth Consortium (2019): EC-Earth-Consortium EC-Earth3
model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP ssp245. Version 20210401.Earth System Grid Fed-
eration. https: //doi.org/10.22033 /ESGF/CMIP6.4880; EC-Earth Consortium (2019): EC-Earth-
Consortium EC-Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP ssp370. Version 20210101.Earth
System Grid Federation. https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4884; EC-Earth Consortium
(2019): EC-Earth-Consortium EC-Earth3 model output prepared for CMIP6 CMIP ssp585. Ver-
sion 20200412.Earth System Grid Federation. https://doi.org/10.22033/ESGF/CMIP6.4912Di
charge observations at Neu Darchau: Measured by WSA (Waterways and Shipping Agency) Elbe.
Available at the Coastal Data Portal of the WSV (Federal Waterways and Shipping Administra-
tion) https: //www.kuestendaten.de/DE/ dynamisch /appl/data/ daten_prod/prodNeuProd/
direct_download/ab_darchau!Abfluss.zip. The data was last downloaded in June 2021.Wa-
ter level Observations at Cuxhaven:Measured by WSA (Waterways and Shipping Agency)
Elbe-Nordsee. Available at the Coastal Data Portal of the WSV (Federal Waterways and Ship-
ping Administration) https: //www.kuestendaten.de/DE/dynamisch/appl/data/daten_prod/
prodNeuProd/direct_download / cuxhaven_steubenhoeft!Wasserstand_(NN-Bezug).zip. The
data was last downloaded in June 2021.Observation of wind velocity and direction at Scharhörn: Measured
by Hamburg Port Authority (HPA). Available at the Coastal Data Portal of the WSV (Federal Waterways
and Shipping Administration). https: //www.kuestendaten.de/DE/dynamisch/appl/data / daten_
prod/prodNeuProd/direct_download /HPA_Meteo_Scharhoern!Windgeschwindigkeit.zip. The
data was last downloaded in June 2021. COSMOREA6: The data is generated and made available
by the Hans Ertel Center of the University of Bonn in cooperation with the DWD (Deutscher
Wetterdienst) (https: / /reanalysis.meteo.uni-bonn.de /?COSMO-REA6___Specifications). Avail-
able at: https: //opendata.dwd.de/climate_environment/REA /COSMO_REA6/. The data was
last downloaded in June 2021. Bathymetrie year 2016. The Data was generated by the EasyGSH-
ProjectAvailable at: https://mdi-de.baw.de /easygsh/EasyEN_DownloadG.html#2016. Last
checked: June 2021.
Conflicts of Interest: The authors declare no conflict of interest
