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S. Schwegmann & J. Holfort: Baltic sea ice volume 1982-2019
Meteorol. Z. (Contrib. Atm. Sei.)
PrePub Article. 2020
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Figure 1: Mean values of accumulated sea ice concentration (left) and accumulated sea ice volume (middle) over an entire winter, averaged
over the period 1982 to 2019. Highest values (blue) occur in the northern parts were a compact sea ice cover exists nearly throughout the
entire winter every year. Lowest values (red) are found in the southern and western Baltic Sea, where sea ice at sea occurs only in strong
winters. The right panel shows frequency of ice occurrence in % of all winters. In the northern Bay of Bothnia, nearly every year ice occurs
(red fields) while in the southern central parts, ice occurs only in some few years with severe winters.
ice charts, which were mostly drawn twice per week for
the entire Baltic Sea over the winter season until 2011.
Afterwards, ice charts were drawn at least once per week
and in times with rapid sea ice changes twice per week.
All the ice charts are based on visual observations from
trained ice observers, on ship-based observations, on air
borne observations (in former years) and on satellite data
since about three decades. In the ice charts, sea ice con
centration and sea ice thickness is not given in absolute
values but rather in intervals. That means, ice concen
tration is given in terms like 10-30 % and sea ice thick
ness in intervals like 5-10 cm. For the regular grid, these
values were averaged, i.e. for the mentioned example,
sea ice concentration would be 20 % and sea ice thick
ness 7.5 cm. The charts before 2005 have been manu
ally digitalized onto a regular 0.5° x 0.5° grid (Feistel
etal., 2008). Newer charts are available as vector data
and were mapped in an automated fashion onto the same
grid. Due to the better resolution of the newer charts,
inconsistencies may appear sometimes in narrow, near
coastal sections like the Vistula Lagoon, as the newer
charts captured this near coastal ice, which (if present in
the charts) were often not taken into account in the man
ual gridding process. This data has already been used in
a comparison between maximum ice volume and max
imum ice extent for the Baltic (Schmelzer and Hol-
fort, 2014), and both time series showed in general
good correlation. However, in some years interesting
differences appeared which showed us that it is reason
able to study sea ice volume, too.
In this study we use only data covering the period
1982 to 2019, as ice thicknesses have not been collected
consistently before 1982. So, in order to avoid high
sea su
uncertainties in the accumulated sea ice volume fields,
e 1982 have not been taken into consideration,
comparison of sea ice changes to those of the
rface temperature only data from 1982-2011 arc
used, as the SST data (described below) is only available
for this time span. We analyzed the local cumulative
ice concentration and ice volume sum, which arc the
integrals over the season of the ice concentration and
volume, respectively, here to be named as accumulated
sea ice concentration (ASIC) and accumulated sea ice
volume (ASIV). The idea of the cumulative ice volume
sum was introduced by Koslowski (1989). Using the
accumulated values instead of mean or maximum values
for ice concentration and ice volume, we believe to
get a more reliable mean for the winter severity. To
account for the irregular sampling times (once or twice
per week only), data between two subsequent ice chart
dates were linearly interpolated to daily data and were
then summed up over the entire winter or over single
months. The ASIC is expressed as percent per square
meter and the ASIV in volume per square meter, so its
dimension is meter. The distribution of averaged ASIC
and ASIV over the entire winter season is shown in
Fig. 1 and is combined with the information of ice
frequency, indicating how often a grid cell has been
covered by ice in the observation period. Mean values
for ASIC (ASIV) over the entire winter range from
0.5 percent m 2 (0.5 m) at the German Baltic coast to
about 152 percent m 2 (75 m) in the northern paid of the
Bay of Bothnia where nearly the entire winter is covered
by a compact sea ice cover. For single months, mean
values of up to 30 percent m 2 (18 m) arc found (not
shown). The temporal variability of ASIC and ASIV can