Abstract
The characteristics of negative surges (water lev
els below 440 cm) in the southern Baltic Sea are
described using data from five gauge stations
along the German and Polish coasts. The
stations are Wismar, Warnemünde, and Sassnitz
in the German part of the Baltic coast,
Swinoujscie and Kotobrzeg in the Polish part.
Hourly and 4-hourly data series starting in 1958
are available from these stations. Besides,
20 major negative surge events observed in the
period from 1955 to 2005 and the meteorological
situation leading to these events are discussed in
detail.
The most important factor leading to the devel
opment of a negative surge is strong offshore
wind or storm forcing the water away from the
coast. Wind measurements on the coast have
shown that offshore wind, i. e. wind from ESE-
WSW directions, prevailed in a large majority of
all negative surge events observed (about 90 %).
Strong offshore wind normally accompanies
low-pressure systems tracking rapidly across the
Baltic Sea. The majority of all negative surges on
record (83.6%) occurred under zonal circulation
conditions. Among these, at 32.5%, the West
Cyclonic atmospheric situation (Wz) was most
frequent, followed by the Central European Ridge
situation (BM), at (14.8%), and the cyclonic
North-West Cyclonic situation (NWz), at 10%.
The severity and frequency of negative surge
events decreases from west to east, which is
explained by the fact that the southern Baltic
Sea has the shape of a bay with an eastward
opening. Statistically, a negative surge event
with water levels of -190 cm occurs every 50
years in Wismar, whereas only -128 cm has to
be expected in Kotobrzeg. Wismar also is the
only station where negative surge events have
occurred in each month of the year, although the
majority of such events occur during the winter
months.